01 / Methodology

DALQEN / METHOD

Evidence before
conclusion.

Market Intelligence
Infrastructure

DALQEN preserves source identity, freshness, coverage, and disagreement as market facts become structured intelligence.

02 / Evidence Model
Evidence Methodology v2

A documented path
from fact to context.

Evidence must be usable within its own scope. A current source, a complete dataset, and a supported conclusion are different things.

  1. 01

    Source Facts

    Source observations retain their provider, timestamp, unit, and coverage. Calculations and assessments derived by DALQEN remain distinguishable from those facts.

    Source identity and observation time help prevent the same fact from being counted twice. Repeated collection does not create independent evidence.

  2. 02

    Freshness

    Market freshness depends on when the source observed or updated the data, not simply when DALQEN collected it. A failed check does not refresh an old value; the last valid observation keeps its original timestamp.

    Official macro data follows publication schedules. An older monthly reference period alone does not make an official release stale. Release timing, non-release days, and collection gaps matter.

  3. 03

    Coverage

    A reachable source does not mean complete coverage. Scope may be limited to a venue, an asset group, a filing universe, or an observed block range.

    PARTIAL means usable evidence exists but required coverage is incomplete. NOT CONNECTED means DALQEN does not currently have an approved source for that dataset.

  4. 04

    Source Independence

    Several metrics from one provider do not automatically count as several independent sources. DALQEN considers their underlying observations and shared dependencies before treating them as separate support.

  5. 05

    Conflicting Evidence

    Supporting and conflicting evidence can remain visible together. DALQEN does not force agreement to create a cleaner narrative.

    MIXED, INCONCLUSIVE, and INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE are valid outcomes when the observations do not support a single conclusion.

  6. 06

    Confidence

    LOW, MODERATE, and HIGH describe the strength of the evidence. Fresh observations alone cannot compensate for incomplete coverage, poor quality, or unresolved disagreement.

  7. 07

    Insufficient Evidence

    An assessment may remain incomplete when necessary inputs are missing, stale, restricted, or conflicting. Unavailable data stays unavailable; DALQEN does not fabricate observations to fill a gap.

    A market-condition assessment is not a trading instruction. Live Signals remain NOT ENABLED.

  8. 08

    Methodology Versioning

    Evidence Methodology v2 identifies the current public evidence framework. Changes to calculations or classifications receive a new version.

    Historical publications retain their original methodology context. A later revision does not silently rewrite an earlier publication.

Confidence reflects evidence quality, freshness, coverage, and agreement.

It is not return probability, win rate, expected return, or trading confidence.